FNUS76 KMFR 150447
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCENT BUTTE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
947 PM PDT FRI OCT 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO CENTRAL OREGON WILL
SLOWLY APPROACH THE CALIFORNIA BORDER TODAY. AFTERNOON WINDS
SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER VERSUS FRIDAY BUT TEMPERATURES AND
HUMIDITY WILL BE A NEAR REPEAT. CLOUDS INCREASE TONIGHT AND THE FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES...HIGHER HUMIDITY...
AND GUSTY WINDS SHIFTING DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALSO...THERE WILL BE
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WITH THIS FRONT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WIND 1-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNDER HIGH CLOUDS. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    FOR A SHOWER LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 1-2 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH EASING TO SOUTH 2-5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WIND 1-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND SHIFTING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST AFTER 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 15-20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...JOHN DONAHUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111015.CRESC.01/MFR