FNUS75 KPUB 150050
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MTN RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
650 PM MDT FRI OCT 14 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IN SHORT...EXPECT WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS SATURDAY AS COMPARED TO
FRIDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER AFTERNOON GUSTS ANTICIPATED.

DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE BURN SITE ON SATURDAY...WITH A POTENTIAL BUMP UP OF 5
TO 10 DEGREEES IN THE AFTERNOON AS OCCASIONAL GUSTY WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP. LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL CROSS INTO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...BUT SUSTAINED STRONG WINDS ARE
NOT EXPECTED THEREFORE NO HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........W-NW 2-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0300...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........W-NW 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 6-11 MPH WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111015.BLACK.02/PUB