FNUS75 KABQ 161716
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAGUNA ORTIZ RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1116 AM MDT SUN OCT 16 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO A LITTLE EARLIER
THAN EXPECTED THIS MORNING...AND IT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH AND
WESTWARD. CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT IT WILL REACH BURN AREA
TODAY...BUT IT WILL BE CLOSE BY MID AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
WESTERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND PEAK DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS. HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY WILL BE APPROXIMATELY 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...RESULTING IN MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN THE
TEENS. NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BUT FIRE
DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED. POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT. WINDS SPEEDS WILL PICK UP FURTHER ON MONDAY UNDER
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE AT THERE PEAK EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. AN HOUR OR TWO OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IF HUMIDITIES DROP JUST A BIT FURTHER THAN CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT SHARPLY DECREASING TEMPERATURES AND BOOSTING HUMIDITIES.


FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1120 MDT 10/16/11
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......SUNNY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-74.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 13-18 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO
                       16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS NEAR
                       20 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 18 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/162000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/91178 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/145778 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......CLEAR.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45-49.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 27-33 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                       20 MPH.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-70.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 16-21 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO
                       12 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 35 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/280000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/154370 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/216000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...E-502
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111016.LAGUN.01/ABQ