FNUS74 KLZK 161919 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR COLE FOX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 219 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1406 CDT ON OCTOBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT WILL RAISE THE WILDFIRE CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR FIRES TO START AND SPREAD. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL BE NOTED ON MONDAY...BUT HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER GIVEN INCREASING MOISTURE. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER AIR AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........85 AT REQUEST...MAX 88. RH..................26 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 23 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............85 87 84 83 RH..............26 23 26 29 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 5 EYE LVL WND GST.13 10 10 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............79 74 70 68 66 65 64 62 62 61 60 58 RH..............35 42 47 51 55 57 60 62 65 67 68 73 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W NW N NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W NW N NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W NW N NE TRANSP WIND SPD.21 23 21 20 18 16 15 14 13 12 10 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...58 REQUESTED BY...ANDY TINKLE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111016.COLEF.01/LZK