FNUS73 KUNR 142129
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHOOLMARM RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
329 PM MDT FRI OCT 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 TO 4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH 12 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 22 TO
                    32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...BKF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111016.SCHOO.01/UNR