FNUS73 KDLH 171120
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI WILDFIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
620 AM CDT MON OCT 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0553 CDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER FAR SOUTHERN HUDSON BAY WILL KEEP
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WEST WINDS (290-310) GUSTING TO
30-35 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL VEER NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT REMAINING GUSTY 20-30 MPH...THEN DECREASING TO 15-20 MPH
TUESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15 MPH WILL BE FOUND WEDNESDAY.

CLOUDS WITH A FEW PASSING RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
                    30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42200) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (127700) LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (139800) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............39     40     41     41     42     40
RH..............65     65     67     70     73     75
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW    WNW    WNW    WNW    WNW    WNW
20 FT WIND SPD..16     15     16     16     16     15
20 FT WIND GUST.30     29     30     30     30     28

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTS 20 TO
                    30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (111100) DECREASING TO GOOD (57400).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............39     38     36     34     33     32
RH..............80     75     85     90     90     93
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW    WNW    NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14     14     12     12     12     9
20 FT WIND GUST.28     25     23     24     20     18

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 TO 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (53550) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (72350) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............32     33     35     37     37     36
RH..............93     80     62     57     55     60
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9      9      8      7      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST.17     17     16     15     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...AMANDA
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LOCKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111017.PAGAM.01/DLH