FNUS75 KGJT 171536
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOWS PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
936 AM MDT MON OCT 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 MDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROF AXIS HAS PASSED THROUGH NORTHERN COLORADO AND WITH
COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD BRING A MORE SCATTERED NATURE TO
THE PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS INSTABILITY
SHOULD ALSO HELP PUSH SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS INTO THE GOOD
CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS TURN MORE TO THE NORTHWEST
ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS TROF. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY...BUT WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND LIGHTER WINDS
SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS MAY STRUGGLE INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY.
FAIRLY STRONG INVERSIONS TONIGHT LEAVE WINDS TERRAIN DRIVEN
FROM SUNSET TO MID TO LATE MORNING...WITH POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
                    LATE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SCATTERED IN NATURE
                    THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH MID MORNING
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST BY NOON AND INCREASING TO 10
                    TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR THROUGH LATE MORNING INCREASING GOOD BY
                    MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 MPH DECREASING TO 22 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS AT 3 TO 5 MPH
                    THROUGH MID MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING FAIR BY MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111017.MEADO.01/GJT