FNUS76 KMFR 170626
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLY RIDGE WUI...USFS BLY RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1126 PM PDT SUN OCT 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENING TO THE EAST. THIS WILL
PRODUCE CLEAR SKIES AND DRY EASTERLY FLOW. THE UPPER RIDGE
WILL MOVE OVERHEAD TONIGHT AND THEN EAST TUESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE
TROUGH APPROACHES BY TUESDAY EVENING BRINGING IN SOME MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 0-2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 6 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-4 MPH EASING TO SOUTH 0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 200 FT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 MPH EASING TO 2-3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0-2 MPH INCREASING TO 2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 6 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2-4 MPH EASING TO DOWNSLOPE 0-1 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO THROUGH THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 MPH EASING TO 0-2 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...JOSE CASTILLO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111017.BLYRI.01/MFR