FNUS71 KAKQ 181836
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PRESCRIBED BURN...DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
236 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE
SOUTH AND WEST TODAY...THEN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THEA AREA FROM WEST
THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.



FOR THE REST OF TODAY

TIME (EDT)          2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  100 100 100 100
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   6   6   6   7   8   7   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
VRATE KT-FT/1000....13  11  10  10  8   5   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
ADI.................17  15  14  14  12  7   8   8   4   4   4   5   6   5   5   7
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3

.WEDNESDAY...

ADI.................12...INCREASING TO 28 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 20 LATE.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 20
                    TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1900-18000 FT-MPH).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................12...INCREASING TO 28 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 20 LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CHC OF PCPN (%).....100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 40  40  40  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  14  17  22  25  28  28  28  24  20  17
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   3   4   5   5   10  14  18  12  7   4
LVORI...............5   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................8   10  13  16  24  27  30  31  30  26  21  18
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2



FORECASTER...ALEXANDER
REQUESTED BY...BRONNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111018.PRESC.01/AKQ