FNUS75 KBOU 172022 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SKY ISLAND...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 222 PM MDT MON OCT 17 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY. DISPERSION SHOULD BECOME GOOD AFTER 1000 AND THEN VERY GOOD BY 1200. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7400-8400 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27. MAX HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 5200-6200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SKY ISLAND. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/17-14 66 10 2 51 41 N21 33 2 1 NW41 8277 NW30 217420 E 10/17-15 52 0 0 52 41 N20 31 2 1 NW47 8678 N29 217897 E 10/17-16 52 0 0 51 40 N18 30 2 1 NW51 7799 N28 187219 E 10/17-17 52 0 0 49 38 N17 26 2 1 N53 6919 NW25 156540 E 10/17-18 52 5 1 46 38 N15 24 2 1 N54 6040 NW24 125862 V 10/17-19 52 5 1 43 42 N13 20 2 1 N54 4581 NW21 91433 G 10/17-20 52 5 1 39 47 NW 9 15 3 1 NW53 3122 NW18 57005 F 10/17-21 38 2 0 36 52 NW 7 7 3 1 NW52 1662 NW16 22577 P 10/17-22 38 2 0 34 55 NW 6 6 3 1 NW53 1359 NW14 17060 P 10/17-23 38 2 0 33 56 W 6 6 2 1 NW54 1056 NW12 11544 P 10/18-00 21 0 0 33 57 W 6 6 2 1 NW55 753 NW 9 6027 P 10/18-01 21 0 0 32 58 W 6 6 2 1 NW55 632 NW 9 5081 P 10/18-02 21 0 0 31 59 W 6 6 2 1 NW56 511 NW 9 4134 P 10/18-03 23 0 0 31 60 W 6 6 2 1 NW59 390 NW 9 3187 P 10/18-04 23 0 0 29 61 W 6 6 2 1 NW63 366 NW 9 2865 P 10/18-05 23 0 0 29 61 W 6 6 2 1 NW69 342 NW 8 2542 P 10/18-06 13 0 0 29 59 W 6 6 2 1 NW74 317 NW 8 2219 P 10/18-07 13 0 0 32 53 NW 6 6 2 1 NW75 2181 NW12 33780 P 10/18-08 13 0 0 36 45 NW 6 6 2 1 N75 4045 NW15 65341 G 10/18-09 13 0 0 40 37 NW 6 6 2 1 N75 5908 N18 96902 G 10/18-10 13 0 0 45 31 NW 8 8 2 1 N73 6597 N20 114103 V 10/18-11 13 0 0 48 25 N10 16 2 1 N70 7285 N21 131304 V 10/18-12 13 0 0 51 22 N12 18 2 1 N69 7973 N22 148505 V 10/18-13 13 0 0 54 20 N12 18 2 1 N68 8144 N21 149566 V 10/18-14 13 0 0 55 19 N12 18 2 1 N68 8314 N21 150628 E 10/18-15 13 0 0 55 19 N10 16 2 1 N68 8485 N21 151690 E 10/18-16 13 0 0 53 21 N 9 15 2 1 N67 7934 N20 132971 V 10/18-17 13 0 0 51 25 N 8 14 2 1 N66 7383 NW17 114252 V 10/18-18 9 0 0 48 29 N 7 7 2 1 N64 6831 NW16 95534 G 10/18-19 9 0 0 49 27 N 6 6 2 1 N63 5319 NW14 68772 G 10/18-20 9 0 0 43 28 NW 6 6 2 1 N64 3540 NW13 53033 F 10/18-21 9 0 0 41 30 W 6 6 2 1 N62 1336 NW 9 11301 P 10/18-22 9 0 0 39 33 W 6 6 2 1 N61 1010 NW 9 8349 P 10/18-23 9 0 0 37 36 W 7 7 2 1 N59 683 NW 8 5397 P 10/19-00 6 0 0 35 39 W 7 7 2 1 N58 357 NW 8 2444 P 10/19-01 6 0 0 32 43 W 7 7 2 1 N56 304 NW 7 1996 P 10/19-02 6 0 0 31 45 W 6 6 2 1 N55 251 W 7 1547 P 10/19-03 6 0 0 31 45 W 6 6 2 1 N54 198 W 7 1099 P 10/19-04 6 0 0 31 45 W 6 6 2 1 N53 190 W 6 1016 P 10/19-05 6 0 0 30 45 W 6 6 2 1 N53 183 W 6 933 P 10/19-06 6 1 0 29 48 W 6 6 2 1 N52 175 W 6 850 P 10/19-07 6 1 0 27 51 W 6 6 2 1 N51 185 W 6 963 P 10/19-08 6 1 0 27 53 W 6 6 2 1 N48 195 W 6 1076 P 10/19-09 6 1 0 29 48 W 6 6 2 1 N45 205 W 7 1189 P 10/19-10 6 1 0 35 39 W 6 6 2 1 N43 1666 NW 8 16548 P 10/19-11 6 1 0 43 29 NW 6 6 2 1 NW39 3127 NW10 31908 P 10/19-12 8 1 0 47 25 NW 6 6 2 1 NW36 4588 NW12 47268 F 10/19-13 8 1 0 50 22 NW 6 6 2 1 NW32 5153 NW13 55268 F 10/19-14 8 1 0 54 18 W 7 7 2 1 NW29 5718 NW13 63269 G 10/19-15 8 1 0 56 16 W 7 7 2 1 NW26 6283 W13 71270 G 10/19-16 8 1 0 59 14 W 6 6 2 1 NW28 6235 W14 72240 G 10/19-17 8 1 0 59 14 SW 6 6 2 1 NW29 6187 W14 73210 G 10/19-18 14 3 1 58 15 S 5 5 2 1 NW30 6138 W14 74179 G 10/19-19 14 3 1 55 17 S 5 5 2 1 NW30 4407 W10 50514 F 10/19-20 14 3 1 50 21 SW 6 6 2 1 NW30 2676 W 7 26850 P 10/19-21 14 3 1 47 23 SW 6 6 2 1 W29 945 W 3 3185 P 10/19-22 14 3 1 46 26 SW 6 6 3 1 W28 803 W 6 3355 P 10/19-23 14 3 1 44 29 W 7 7 3 1 W28 661 W 7 3525 P 10/20-00 19 4 1 41 33 W 7 7 4 1 W26 520 W 8 3696 P 10/20-01 19 4 1 39 38 W 7 7 4 1 W26 431 W 9 3240 P 10/20-02 19 4 1 38 40 W 8 8 4 1 W26 343 W 9 2784 P 10/20-03 19 4 1 38 41 W 8 13 4 1 W25 255 W10 2328 P 10/20-04 19 4 1 37 43 W 8 14 4 1 W23 239 W10 2229 P 10/20-05 19 4 1 37 43 W 9 14 3 1 NW21 222 W12 2130 P 10/20-06 13 3 1 36 46 W 9 15 3 1 NW18 206 NW12 2031 P 10/20-07 13 3 1 34 49 W 9 15 1 10/20-08 13 3 1 34 49 NW 9 15 1 10/20-09 13 3 1 36 45 NW 9 15 1 10/20-10 13 3 1 40 38 NW 9 14 1 10/20-11 13 3 1 46 29 NW 8 14 1 10/20-12 11 3 1 49 26 NW 8 13 1 10/20-13 11 3 1 51 23 NW 7 7 1 10/20-14 11 3 1 54 19 NW 7 7 1 10/20-15 11 3 1 55 17 NW 6 6 1 10/20-16 11 3 1 58 15 NW 5 5 1 10/20-17 11 3 1 57 14 NW 3 3 1 10/20-18 9 3 1 56 15 NW 3 3 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DAVE HOWARD REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111018.SKYIS.01/BOU