FNUS71 KCTP 181220 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 35...ARMY NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 820 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 EDT ON OCTOBER 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE GENERALLY FAIR AND MILD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY UNDER A GENEROUS AMOUNT OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS. A LARGE...DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL GATHER STRENGTH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN STATES LATER TODAY...BEFORE HEADING TOWARD THE COMMONWEALTH AND BRINGING PERIODS OF RAIN TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH...TO JUST OVER ONE INCH BY MIDDAY THURSDAY...ARE LIKELY. FAIR...BUT BRISK AND COOL WEATHER WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION FOR FRIDAY. INCREASING SUNSHINE WITH DIMINISHING WIND WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............75 75 65 60 60 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 54 60 67 65 RH..................70 60 50 41 46 20 FT WIND..........S 1 NW 1 S 2 SE 2 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2100 1700 1600 2000 2400 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 12 NW 7 W 3 S 2 S 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............60 56 56 66 96 96 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................61 57 57 56 55 54 RH..................56 70 70 72 75 79 20 FT WIND..........SE 3 SE 5 E 6 E 7 E 8 E 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 4 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF RAIN UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............96 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................53 54 56 57 59 59 RH..................88 87 87 86 82 83 20 FT WIND..........E 10 E 12 E 13 E 14 E 15 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 5 5 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR REQUESTED BY...MR SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111018.RANGE.01/CTP