FNUS73 KLOT 190119 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIANA DUNES STATE PARK...DNR INDIANA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 819 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1939 CDT ON OCTOBER 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .DISCUSSION... A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY EARLY WEDNESDAY...BEFORE SLIDING NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL UNDERGO RAPID STRENGTHENING WEDNESDAY AND RESULT IN VERY GUSTY WINDS. WIND GUSTS SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY WILL BE HOVERING AROUND 40 MPH...AND CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO AROUND 50 MPH BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........54 AT INCIDENT...MIN 46. RH..................67 PERCENT AT INCIDENT...MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 12 MPH AT INCIDENT...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT INCIDENT...OTHERWISE 3200-3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 28 TO 37 MPH INCREASING TO 39 TO 47 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /75900 KNOT- FT/ AT INCIDENT. MIN...GOOD/73000 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............54 53 53 52 52 51 50 50 50 49 48 47 RH..............67 67 68 71 71 74 80 80 80 80 83 86 20FT WIND DIR...020 020 030 030 040 050 050 040 030 030 040 040 20FT SPEED(MPH).9 10 10 10 10 11 11 14 14 15 16 16 20FT SPEED(KT)..8 8 8 8 9 10 10 12 13 13 14 14 20FT GUST(MPH)..18 20 20 20 21 22 23 25 26 29 31 32 20FT GUST(KT)...16 17 17 17 18 19 20 22 23 25 27 28 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.020 020 030 030 040 050 050 050 050 050 040 040 TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 29 30 31 32 35 37 39 43 45 47 CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 80 80 80 80 80 80 VRATE KT-FT/100076 79 87 92 86 77 73 81 95 110 117 124 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN OCCASIONAL RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52. RH..................MIN 80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. NORTH WINDS 21 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 49 TO 58 MPH BECOMING NORTH AND INCREASING TO 73 TO 74 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT (133900-226300 KNOT- FT). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............46 47 48 49 49 48 48 49 51 52 51 49 RH..............89 86 83 83 86 86 89 86 80 80 83 89 20FT WIND DIR...040 040 030 030 030 020 010 010 010 010 010 010 20FT SPEED(MPH).16 17 17 18 18 19 20 21 22 23 23 24 20FT SPEED(KT)..14 15 15 15 16 17 17 18 19 20 20 21 20FT GUST(MPH)..35 37 38 40 41 43 46 48 49 53 54 55 20FT GUST(KT)...30 32 33 35 36 37 40 42 43 46 47 48 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.6 3.2 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.040 040 030 030 020 020 010 010 010 010 010 020 TRANSP WIND SPD.49 51 52 54 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 74 CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/1000134 155 176 188 174 153 143 168 202 226 213 189 $$ FORECASTER...BEACHLER REQUESTED BY...DOUG STUKEY TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20111018.INDIA.01/LOT