FNUS76 KMFR 180207
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR VALLEY...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
707 PM PDT MON OCT 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE SURFACE TROUGH AT THE COAST IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT INLAND INTO WESTERN OREGON AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVES
TOWARDS THE COAST. TEMPERATURES TUESDAY STILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL. RECOVERIES WILL BE MODERATE TO FAIR EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH LOW MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE AFTERNOON.
SKIES START OUT CLEAR...THEN CUMULUS CLOUDS BUILD UP LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME WERE EXPECTING DRY WEATHER WITH
ANY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER HOLDING OFF UNTIL
TUESDAY NIGHT. A SHOWER OR TWO MAY LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...OTHERWISE THE DAY WILL BE DRY WITH DECREASING
CLOUDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH
                    FROM MID MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2-4 MPH EARLY...THEN VARIABLE 0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST TO
                    NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8-14 MPH.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...RUTH JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111018.BEARV.01/MFR