FNUS76 KMFR 180154
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORTAR COYOTE...BLY RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
654 PM PDT MON OCT 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 PDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE SURFACE TROUGH AT THE COAST IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT INLAND INTO WESTERN OREGON AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVES
TOWARDS THE COAST. TEMPERATURES TUESDAY STILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL. RECOVERIES WILL BE MODERATE TO FAIR EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH LOW MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE AFTERNOON.
SKIES START OUT CLEAR...THEN CUMULUS CLOUDS BUILD UP LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME WERE EXPECTING DRY WEATHER WITH
ANY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER HOLDING OFF UNTIL
TUESDAY NIGHT. A SHOWERS OR TWO MAY LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...OTHERWISE THE DAY WILL BE DRY WITH DECREASING
CLOUDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-21 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM THROUGH MID MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 7-12 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND A ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM OR TWO.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 3-6 MPH EARLY...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6-13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    THEN CLEARING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST 6-12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12-18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...ERIC KNERR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111018.MORTA.03/MFR