FNUS73 KMPX 181315
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE ALEXANDER...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
815 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM THAT WAS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL INTENSIFY BY MIDWEST AS IT MOVES
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. OUR WEATHER WILL BE
INFLUENCED BY THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH WINDS BECOMING
MORE NORTH TO NORTHEAST ALONG WITH PERIODS OF CLOUDY SKIES
AND A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS...SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS
WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. MORE SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE FAR WEST...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS
THE REGION BY LATE THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (26800-72500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (64800-100800) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (35800) LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............35     38     43     45     44     39
RH..............75     67     53     47     47     57
20 FT WIND......NW 9   NW 10  NW 10  NW 10  NW 9   N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100-9800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2900-46200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1800
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111018.LAKEA.01/MPX