FNUS75 KRIW 181329
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUDDY MOUNTAIN PILES...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
729 AM MDT TUE OCT 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0710 MDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LINGERING LOW CLOUDS OVER THE BURN SITE WILL EXIT THE AREA BY THE
MID MORNING HOURS. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY AND
WARMING CONDITIONS OVER THE BURN SITE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE
POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND WILL REMAIN INTO THE EVENING
HOURS TONIGHT...AND THEN WEAKEN AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH LIGHT WIND
PERSISTING FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SHALLOW MORNING INVERSIONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVER THE BURN SITE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE. INVERSIONS SHOULD LIFT BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) BY 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-49.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-38 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (35500-48700 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-61 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTY
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY
                    2200.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY 2300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800-25200 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (25400-50000 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...DEREK BITNER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111018.MUDDY.01/RIW