FNUS73 KDLH 192104
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI WILDFIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
404 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1547 CDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BREEZY AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO THIS EVENING.
ALTHOUGH CLOUDS MAY DECREASE AT TIMES...ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. SKIES ARE
EXPECTED TO CLEAR TOMORROW WITH LOWERING HUMIDITY BY AFTERNOON.
THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT RH MAY LOWER MORE SIGNIFICANTLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THE MORNING UPDATE SHOULD
HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THAT POTENTIAL. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE TOMORROW WITH DRY WEATHER CONTINUING. A WINDSHIFT INTO THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ...AND INCREASING CLOUDS... WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY BUT
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH...GUSTS TO 13 MPH EARLY EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3250) INCREASING TO POOR (5900) LATE.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............35     33     31     30     30     29
RH..............78     82     88     88     85     88
20 FT WIND DIR..N      N      N      N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      6      6      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST.11     10     10     12     12     12

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
                    PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17400) INCREASING TO GOOD (35800) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (39300)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (25700) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............28     31     36     41     44     43
RH..............88     78     67     55     49     51
20 FT WIND DIR..N      N      N      N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD..6      6      7      7      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST.12     12     13     13     12     10

$$
FORECASTER...DECLAN
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LOCKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111019.PAGAM.02/DLH