FNUS74 KEPZ 191729
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR JAYHILL PRESCRIBED FIRE...NMLNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1129 AM MDT WED OCT 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1135 MDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WINDS WILL ALSO BE SHIFTING
AROUND TO THE WEST AND INCREASING TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ALSO BE FALLING INTO THE LOWER TO MID TEENS
AS THE DOWNSLOPE FLOW INCREASES. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED GOING
INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES WITH JUST A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......POOR.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........49-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 16 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111019.JAYHI.04/EPZ