FNUS76 KMFR 140238
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLY RIDGE WUI...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
738 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PERSISTENT PATTERN IS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...WITH NEAR TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LITTLE
TO NO PRECIPITATION. NO SIGNIFICANT STORMS ARE ON THE HORIZON THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH
SOME MORNING FOG IN THE WEST SIDE VALLEYS. A LINGERING NEARBY WEAK FRONT
WILL YIELD A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CASCADES SUNDAY AND
THEN EXIT THE AREA BY MONDAY. WARMER AND SUNNY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
MONDAY. MODELS DIVERGE LATER NEXT WEEK REGARDING PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND
OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN...SO THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY AT THAT
RANGE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WIND TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST 2 TO
                    4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WIND TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST 2 TO
                    4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 32 TO 37. HIGHS 63 TO 68. LIGHT WIND.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 25 TO 30. HIGHS 62 TO 67. NORTHEAST WINDS
6 TO 11 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 30 TO 35. HIGHS 62 TO 67. LIGHT WIND.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...SHERRY JACOBS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111019.BLYRI.01/MFR