FNUS76 KMFR 191040
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCLOUD PILE BURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
340 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1405 PDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING. THIS HAS INDUCED LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WHICH WILL
MOVE THROUGH ALONG WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT. NOT EXPECTING ANY
PRECIP AT THE BURN SITE TODAY, BUT SOUTHWEST WINDS SHOULD BE A
LITTLE STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. WE WILL ALSO SEE
COOLER AND MORE HUMID AIR MOVE IN TODAY. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS WE REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK SYSTEMS MOVING BY TO OUR NORTH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-31.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 4-6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-37 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING WEST 2-4 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 35 TO 40. HIGHS 67 TO 72. LIGHT WIND.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 33 TO 38. HIGHS 67 TO 72. LIGHT WIND.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 33 TO 38. HIGHS 68 TO 73. LIGHT WIND.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...DONNA SAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111019.MCCLO.01/MFR