FNUS76 KMFR 191133
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PANTHER HAND PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
433 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING. THIS HAS INDUCED LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WHICH WILL
MOVE THROUGH ALONG WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT. NOT EXPECTING ANY
PRECIP AT THE BURN SITE TODAY BUT WE WILL SEE COOLER AND MORE
HUMID AIR MOVE IN TODAY. WINDS SHOULD BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN UPSLOPE
THIS AFTERNOON AND DOWNSLOPE TONIGHT. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS WE REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK SYSTEMS MOVING BY TO OUR NORTH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE RISING TO 2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-88 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 4 TO 7 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2-3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING UPSLOPE 2-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE RISING TO 4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...DONNA SAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111019.PANTH.01/MFR