FNUS76 KSEW 191715
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR TA-6 SALINAS...JB LEWIS-MCCHORD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1015 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 PDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
TODAY WHILE AT THE SURFACE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CHANGE TO ONSHORE.
THIS COMBINATION WILL BRING CLOUDS AND COOLER HIGHS TODAY. A LITTLE
RAIN CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY TOWARDS THE COAST
BUT IT LOOKS DRY MOST AREAS TODAY. A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE
ONSHORE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...BRINGING A BETTER THREAT OF RAIN
TO THE AREA. MODELS HAVE BEEN BACKING OFF ON THE AMOUNT OF QPF AND
IT LOOKS PRETTY HIT AND MISS AT THIS POINT. SOME AREAS MIGHT NOT GET
ANY RAIN AND AREAS WHERE IT DOES RAIN WILL MOSTLY SEE VERY LIGHT
AMOUNTS. BEST CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE NORTH COAST AND INTO THE
NORTH CASCADES WITH LESSER CHANCES SOUTH AND EAST. AFTER A BREAK IN
BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS THURSDAY NIGHT...A WETTER AND MORE VIGOROUS
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY. RAIN SHOULD
FALL ALL AREAS WITH THIS SYSTEM AND QPF WILL BE DECENT AT THE COAST
AND IN THE MOUNTAINS.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HANER
REQUESTED BY...NICK MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111019.TA6SA.01/SEW