FNUS75 KGJT 191628
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD HILL...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1028 AM MDT WED OCT 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE REGION THURSDAY...THEN GET
FLATTENED BY A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
BOTH DAYS...AND OVERALL THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE LIGHT AND FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE THE MAIN ISSUE AS THE COMBINATION
OF MIXING AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH AFTER 1130.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........49-54%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5600-7900 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7700-13400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...LATHAN JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111020.MUDHI.01/GJT