FNUS75 KGJT 202253
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAN RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
453 PM MDT THU OCT 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1610 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND
WITH GENERALLY A NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN IN PLACE ALOFT DUE TO STRONG
WESTERN STATES RIDGE. A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL BE MOVING THROUGH
THIS FLOW BUT LOOK TO ONLY BRING A FEW MID TO HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE
STATE. WINDS WILL BE HEAVILY INFLUENCED BY THE NIGHTLY INVERSIONS AND
BE TERRAIN DRIVEN FROM NEAR SUNSET THROUGH AT LEAST MID MORNING.
AS MIXING INCREASES BY NOON DUE TO WARMING TEMPERATURES WINDS SHOULD
TURN MORE SOUTHWEST TO WEST BY THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS LOOK
TO REACH NEAR 6000 FT AGL...LEADING TO GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE OR TERRAIN DRIVEN AT 5 MPH OR LESS
                    AFTER SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL OR LESS AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH...BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN AFTER
                    SUNSET.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57 TO 62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/TERRAIN DRIVEN THROUGH MID MORNING
                    THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST AT 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH MID MORNING THEN
                    INCREASING TO NEAR 6000 FT AGL BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...RUSTY STARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111020.ROANR.01/GJT