FNUS73 KMPX 201231
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARLSON LAKE...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
731 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST INTO CANADA BY TONIGHT.  THIS WILL KEEP THE AREA IN
A COOL NORTHERLY FLOW OF AIR TODAY. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA PROVIDING MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS
TO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-49800) INCREASING TO FAIR TO
                    GOOD (19300-57100) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3500-5100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     44     49     50     46     39
RH..............72     53     44     43     51     67
20 FT WIND......N 6    NW 8   NW 8   NW 8   NW 6   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500-2600).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-33900).

$$
FORECASTER...WFO MPX
REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111020.CARLS.01/MPX