FNUS76 KMTR 192136
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCURDY...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
236 PM PDT WED OCT 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE MARINE LAYER WILL POSSIBLY FORM AGAIN OVER THE BURN SITE LASTING
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING.  THEREFORE...MOIST AND COOL CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. IN ADDITION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION
KEEP MIXING HEIGHTS LOW THROUGH THE DAY. IN FACT...SOME COMPUTER
MODELS SUGGEST VERY LITTLE MIXING THROUGH THE DAY. TYPICAL
ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL AT THE BURN SITE AS WELL WITH GUSTY WINDS
POSSIBLE WITH THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. PATCHY FOG
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS TO 11 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MARINE LAYER........1200-1500 FEET. CONFIDENCE OF FORMING IS MEDIUM.

TIME (PDT)      10 AM        12 PM         2 PM         4 PM

TEMP............58-61        61-64         64-68        64-68
RH..............80-85        70-75         65-70        65-70
20 FT WIND......NW 4G7       NW 6G10       NW 8G12      NW 8G12
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 3G5       NW 4G7        NW 6G9       NW 6G9
MIXING HEIGHT...400-600FT    600-800FT     800-1000FT   800-1000FT

$$
FORECASTER...M_MEHLE
REQUESTED BY...ROGER WONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111020.MCCUR.01/MTR
.EMAIL ROGER_WONG@NPS.GOV,JORDAN_REESER@NPS.GOV,JEREMIAH_HANKS@NPS.GOV