FNUS75 KPUB 200132
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 21...FORT CARSON FD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
732 PM MDT WED OCT 19 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  WINDS IN THE
MIXING LAYER ON THURSDAY SHOULD YIELD VERY GOOD DISPERSAL IN
THE AFTERNOON.  ON FRIDAY THE MIXING LAYER WILL BE A LITTLE
MORE SHALLOW AND THE WINDS IN THE LAYER WILL ONLY BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO YIELD FAIR DISPERSAL FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON.



.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH OR NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200 THEN EAST TO
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6000 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1400...THEN 10200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 5500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(28 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42F.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 8
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100 THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111020.TA21_.01/PUB