FNUS73 KDLH 212047 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI WILDFIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 347 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1537 CDT ON OCTOBER 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER IS LIKELY...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. A WINDSHIFT FROM WEST TO NORTHWEST SHOULD OCCUR AROUND MIDNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TOMORROW WITH PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. LIGHT WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. RAIN IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AMOUNTS SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE GUSTY WINDS AND DRIER AIR MOVE INTO THE AREA. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......450 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2250). TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............45 41 39 37 36 35 RH..............53 65 73 82 85 89 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11600) INCREASING TO GOOD (31100) IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (18000) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............34 37 43 48 51 50 RH..............92 82 65 54 48 50 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......850 FT AGL DECREASING TO 350 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8550) DECREASING TO POOR (3800) AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............45 42 40 39 38 37 RH..............62 70 76 82 85 89 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 8 9 9 9 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING WEST 8 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500) INCREASING TO FAIR (22700) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (88200) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (73800) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............36 38 44 49 51 50 RH..............92 86 68 56 51 53 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 10 11 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.8 13 17 23 25 19 $$ FORECASTER...DECLAN REQUESTED BY...MIKE LOCKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111021.PAGAM.02/DLH