FNUS76 KMFR 221151
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMOKEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
451 AM PDT SAT OCT 22 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMOKEY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
711 PM PDT FRI OCT 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FLAT RIDGE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE SITE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND KEEPING ANY RAIN WELL TO THE NORTH. NIGHT TIME
INVERSIONS WILL BE STRONG BUT SHOULD BREAK FOR A FEW HOURS EACH
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT BUT GRADIENTS SHOULD FAVOR A NORTH
WIND DURING AFTERNOON MIXING. A SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL PUSH A WEAK
DRY FRONT THROUGH THE BURN SITE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH GUSTIER NORTH
WINDS DEVELOPING FOR MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTH 3-5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6-11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 4-7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTH 3-5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 38 TO 43. HIGHS 61 TO 70. NORTH WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 31 TO 36. HIGHS 54 TO 61. NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS 27 TO 32. HIGHS 54 TO 62. NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.


$$

REQUESTED BY...HEATHER MCRAE
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE