FNUS75 KBOU 230105 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 700 PM MDT SAT OCT 22 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL KEEP WARM DRY NW FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE SOUTHWEST OR DOWN VALLEY IN THE BURN AREA WITH A BIT OF MOMENTUM MIXING DOWN IN THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 3-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71. MIN HUMIDITY........13-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH INCREASING TO 8-14 MPH AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8400-9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MAX HUMIDITY........38-44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 3-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72. MIN HUMIDITY........12-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-7 MPH INCREASING TO 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3000 FT AGL RISING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 1200 AND 10000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/22-18 14 0 0 54 28 E 9 14 2 1 NW31 6425 NW 7 37817 P 10/22-19 14 0 0 48 34 E 8 8 2 1 NW30 4382 W 6 25581 P 10/22-20 11 0 0 47 35 S 7 7 2 1 NW29 2339 SW 5 13345 P 10/22-21 11 0 0 45 37 S 6 6 2 1 NW29 297 SW 5 1110 P 10/22-22 8 0 0 43 39 S 6 6 2 1 NW29 259 SW 5 1104 P 10/22-23 8 0 0 41 40 S 7 7 2 1 NW30 221 SW 6 1098 P 10/23-00 1 0 0 40 41 SW 8 8 2 1 NW31 183 SW 7 1092 P 10/23-01 1 0 0 40 41 SW 8 8 2 1 NW32 196 SW 7 1198 P 10/23-02 1 0 0 39 40 SW 8 8 2 1 NW35 209 SW 7 1304 P 10/23-03 1 0 0 40 39 SW 8 8 2 1 NW37 221 W 7 1410 P 10/23-04 1 0 0 40 38 SW 8 8 2 1 NW37 214 W 7 1315 P 10/23-05 1 0 0 39 38 SW 7 7 3 1 NW38 206 W 7 1219 P 10/23-06 0 0 0 39 39 SW 7 7 3 1 NW38 199 W 7 1124 P 10/23-07 0 0 0 39 40 SW 7 7 3 1 NW38 466 W 6 1660 P 10/23-08 0 0 0 42 36 S 7 7 3 1 NW37 733 W 5 2195 P 10/23-09 0 0 0 48 29 S 7 7 3 1 NW37 999 SW 3 2730 P 10/23-10 0 0 0 56 21 S 7 7 3 1 NW36 3420 W 6 28452 P 10/23-11 0 0 0 62 17 S 6 6 4 1 NW35 5840 W 8 54174 F 10/23-12 0 0 0 66 15 S 6 6 4 1 NW35 8260 NW12 79897 G 10/23-13 0 0 0 67 14 SW 6 6 4 1 NW33 8925 NW14 106489 V 10/23-14 0 0 0 68 14 SW 5 5 3 1 NW33 9590 W16 133081 V 10/23-15 0 0 0 69 14 W 5 5 3 1 NW33 10255 W18 159674 E 10/23-16 0 0 0 67 15 SW 5 5 3 1 NW33 8249 W15 119247 V 10/23-17 0 0 0 64 17 SW 5 5 3 1 NW33 6242 W13 78819 G 10/23-18 3 0 0 58 20 SW 6 6 3 1 NW33 4236 W10 38392 P 10/23-19 3 0 0 52 25 SW 7 7 3 1 NW32 2877 W10 26003 P 10/23-20 3 0 0 50 27 SW 8 8 4 1 NW30 1519 SW 9 13615 P 10/23-21 3 0 0 47 29 SW 9 9 4 1 NW28 160 SW 9 1226 P 10/23-22 3 0 0 45 30 SW 9 9 4 1 NW25 153 SW 9 1274 P 10/23-23 3 0 0 43 32 SW10 10 5 1 NW23 146 SW10 1321 P 10/24-00 3 0 0 41 33 S10 10 5 1 NW21 140 SW12 1369 P 10/24-01 3 0 0 41 33 S10 10 5 1 W18 143 SW12 1417 P 10/24-02 3 0 0 41 33 S12 12 5 1 W18 147 SW12 1465 P 10/24-03 3 0 0 42 33 S12 16 5 1 W18 151 SW12 1512 P 10/24-04 3 0 0 41 33 S12 16 5 1 W20 147 SW12 1471 P 10/24-05 3 0 0 41 34 S12 16 5 1 W22 142 SW12 1429 P 10/24-06 7 0 0 40 36 S12 16 5 1 W23 138 SW12 1388 P 10/24-07 7 0 0 40 36 SW12 12 5 1 W23 218 SW12 2291 P 10/24-08 7 0 0 43 32 SW10 10 5 1 W22 299 SW13 3195 P 10/24-09 7 0 0 49 26 SW10 10 5 1 W21 379 W13 4099 P 10/24-10 7 0 0 58 19 SW10 10 5 1 W21 3095 W16 58341 F 10/24-11 7 0 0 64 16 W10 10 5 1 W21 5810 W20 112584 V 10/24-12 7 0 0 68 14 W10 10 5 1 W22 8526 W23 166827 E 10/24-13 7 0 0 68 13 W12 12 4 1 W24 9563 W23 189565 E 10/24-14 7 0 0 70 13 W12 17 3 1 W26 10601 W23 212303 E 10/24-15 7 0 0 70 13 W13 17 2 1 W30 11638 W23 235041 E 10/24-16 7 0 0 69 14 W13 17 2 1 W32 9917 W22 192436 E 10/24-17 7 0 0 65 16 W12 17 2 1 W36 8195 W21 149831 V 10/24-18 10 3 1 60 19 W12 16 2 1 W37 6474 W20 107226 V 10/24-19 10 3 1 53 24 W12 12 2 1 W38 4398 W17 72382 G 10/24-20 10 3 1 51 26 W10 10 2 1 W38 2322 W15 37538 P 10/24-21 10 3 1 49 28 W10 10 2 1 W38 246 W13 2693 P 10/24-22 10 3 1 47 30 W12 12 2 1 W38 240 W14 2886 P 10/24-23 10 3 1 45 33 W13 17 3 1 W38 235 W15 3078 P 10/25-00 10 3 1 43 35 W13 17 3 1 W37 229 W16 3271 P 10/25-01 10 3 1 42 36 W12 16 3 1 W36 244 W15 3222 P 10/25-02 10 3 1 42 37 W10 10 2 1 W35 259 W14 3174 P 10/25-03 10 3 1 43 38 W 8 8 2 1 W33 274 W13 3126 P 10/25-04 10 3 1 43 40 W 7 7 2 1 W35 273 W12 2733 P 10/25-05 10 3 1 42 43 SW 7 7 2 1 W35 273 W10 2340 P 10/25-06 30 6 1 42 47 SW 6 6 2 1 W36 272 W 8 1946 P 10/25-07 30 6 1 41 48 SW 5 5 2 1 W36 377 W 8 2524 P 10/25-08 30 6 1 43 47 SW 5 5 2 1 W36 481 W 8 3102 P 10/25-09 30 6 1 45 42 SW 3 3 2 1 W35 585 W 7 3681 P 10/25-10 30 6 1 49 38 SW 2 2 2 1 W32 2120 W 8 16998 P 10/25-11 30 6 1 51 35 W 2 2 2 1 W30 3655 W 9 30316 P 10/25-12 55 20 4 53 33 W 2 2 2 1 W28 5190 W 9 43633 F 10/25-13 55 20 4 53 34 SW 2 2 2 1 W26 4780 W 8 36376 P 10/25-14 55 20 4 54 34 S 3 3 3 1 W26 4370 SW 7 29119 P 10/25-15 55 20 4 54 34 S 3 3 3 1 W26 3960 SW 7 21861 P 10/25-16 55 20 4 53 36 SE 5 5 3 1 W29 2714 S 7 14987 P 10/25-17 55 20 4 50 41 E 6 6 3 1 SW30 1469 E 7 8112 P 10/25-18 69 35 13 45 50 E 6 6 3 1 SW32 223 NE 7 1237 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111022.TROUT.01/BOU