FNUS73 KDVN 211558
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR GENESIS SYSTEMS RX FIRE...ROCK ISLAND SWCD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1058 AM CDT FRI OCT 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT THE AREA LATE TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW
DEVELOPING TONIGHT. A DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL OCCUR ON SATURDAY
CAUSING WINDS TO SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4300-5300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1500-3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO
                    13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............27     35     44     52     55     55
RH..............81     78     57     44     40     40
EYE LEVEL WIND..230/0  270/3  290/7  280/7  260/6  240/5
EYE LEVEL GUST..5      5      10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6
                    MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........WIND SHIFTING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST.
                    APPROXIMATE FRONTAL PASSAGE BETWEEN 1130 AND
                    1330 LOCAL TIME.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1500
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...PIERCE
REQUESTED BY...MATT SCHRAMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111022.GENES.01/DVN