FNUS76 KMFR 231220
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOBAR 31-1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
520 AM PDT SUN OCT 23 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOBAR 31-1...MEDFORD BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
936 PM PDT SAT OCT 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP RAINFALL
WELL NORTH OF THE BURN SITE TODAY AND TOMORROW. THE MORNING
INVERSION WILL BE STRONG AGAIN TODAY...BUT A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE SITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON BREAKING THE INVERSION AND
ALLOWING NORTHWEST WINDS TO MIX DOWN. THE INVERSION WILL REDEVELOP
QUICKLY TONIGHT...BUT A STRONGER FRONTAL PUSH WILL MOVE THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING WITH SLIGHTLY WINDIER CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON.
RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED WITH EITHER FRONT...BUT HUMIDITIES WILL
INCREASE AND COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN...ESPECIALLY MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-42 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH AFTER
                    NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE RISING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING NORTH 9-13 MPH AFTER NOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH DECREASING TO 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9-13 MPH DECREASING TO 2-4 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH INCREASING TO 6-9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH.


$$

REQUESTED BY...JERRY SERABIA
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, U