FNUS76 KMFR 220203
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PILGRAM...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
703 PM PDT FRI OCT 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FLAT RIDGE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE SITE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND KEEPING ANY RAIN WELL TO THE NORTH. NIGHT TIME
INVERSIONS WILL BE STRONG BUT SHOULD BREAK FOR A FEW HOURS EACH
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT BUT GRADIENTS SHOULD FAVOR A NORTH
WIND DURING AFTERNOON MIXING. A SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL PUSH A WEAK
DRY FRONT THROUGH THE BURN SITE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH GUSTIER NORTH
WINDS DEVELOPING FOR MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTH 2-3 MPH AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT WIND.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTH 3-4 MPH AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 4 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 33 TO 38. HIGHS 64 TO 72. NORTH WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 26 TO 31. HIGHS 58 TO 64. NORTH WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS 22 TO 27. HIGHS 58 TO 64. NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...HEATHER MCRAE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111022.PILGR.01/MFR