FNUS72 KMLB 221401
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP C2 FIRE FEST 2011...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1001 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY LOOP WAS SHOWING A
NORTHERLY WINDS WAS PUSHING THE MARINE STRATOCUMULUS OVER THE
ATLANTIC MOVING TOWARD THE COAST AND THE STRATOCU WAS ALMOST
ASHORE FROM AROUND SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET. THE
STUART AIRPORT OBSERVATION...SCATTERED AT 3000 FEET...IS AN
INDICATION OF A MIXING HEIGHT WHEN THE SKIES BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY
AS THE STRATOCU COMES ASHORE THEN THE MIXING HEIGHT OF 3000 TO
3500 FEET MAY BE A LITTLE OVERDONE AND AROUND 3000 FEET LOOKS BETTER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 13 TO 17
                    MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............75  75  75  75  74  72  70  70  69  68  68  68
RH..............54  54  54  55  57  61  68  68  70  73  73  73
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  14  13  12  10  9   9   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  15  15      10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
LVORI...............3.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111022.JDSPC.01/MLB