FNUS73 KDLH 230831
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI WILDFIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
331 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0325 CDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF LIGHT RAIN WILL EXIT THE ARROWHEAD THIS MORNING. WARMER
THAN SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WHILE WINDS REMAIN
WEAK. A WEAK TROUGH ALOFT WILL BRING ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS BACK
TO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SKIES WILL CLEAR AND
THINGS WILL DRY OUT AND WINDS WILL COME UP OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE DAKOTAS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3500) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (86600).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............37     39     45     50     52     50
RH..............75     79     68     58     54     56
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..4      5      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST.6      9      9      10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (48900) DECREASING TO POOR (1600).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............45     41     39     37     36     35
RH..............68     79     85     89     85     78
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      5      5      5      6
20 FT WIND GUST.9      9      9      9      10     12

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTS UP TO
                    17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000) INCREASING TO GOOD (42700) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (72300) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (67200) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............34     36     40     43     45     44
RH..............69     67     57     53     49     49
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7      8      9      10     8      6
20 FT WIND GUST.13     15     16     17     15     12

$$
FORECASTER...PETER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LOCKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111023.PAGAM.01/DLH