FNUS73 KDMX 230916 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR ALAN TAYLOR...IOWA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 416 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN IN THE MORNING...PUSHING EAST BY THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE WEST AND WILL LIKELY SEE GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH MIXING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (53600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (85800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (80100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 43 40 37 34 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............63 65 68 70 71 71 70 66 RH..............54 50 45 42 41 41 41 47 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 15 15 15 14 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W EYE LVL WND SPD.9 10 11 11 11 10 9 9 EYE LVL WND GST.15 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 3.3 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.3 3.6 1.9 MIXNG WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W SW MIXNG WIND SPD..16 18 20 20 20 17 14 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........29 24 18 13 15 17 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............62 57 54 52 50 49 RH..............54 64 69 74 77 77 20 FT WIND......W 10 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 7 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 4 W 4 EYE LVL WND GST.15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......SW 7 SW 8 SW 10 NW 10 NW 8 W 7 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (55100 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........19 20 21 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............46 56 69 74 RH..............83 62 40 37 20 FT WIND......W 5G10 SW 5G10 S 6G10 S 9G15 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 4G10 SW 4G10 S 4G10 S 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 4600 5500 MIXNG WIND......W 7 NW 10 W 14 SW 9 HAINES INDEX....4 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WILKINS REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH2 TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111023.ALANT.01/DMX