FNUS73 KDMX 241737 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOTLE WMA...IOWA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1237 PM CDT MON OCT 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON OCTOBER 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PULL EAST OF THE AREA TODAY WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS TO THE WEST. EXPECT A LIGHT WESTERLY WIND EARLY BUT DIRECTION COULD BECOME VARIABLE BY MID AFTERNOON AS A WEAKNESS IN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT MOVES IN. A QUICK SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST BY AROUND 5 PM OR SHORTLY AFTER. TUESDAY WILL START WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TOWARD THE NOON HOUR WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS EXPECTED BY THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WEST 5 TO 8 MPH SWITCHING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (40100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (57300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING EAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........43 37 34 34 36 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............63 65 66 64 63 RH..............35 33 32 34 35 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.W SW S SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 2 4 EYE LVL WND GST. 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.6 5.1 3.5 1.9 MIXNG WIND DIR..W W W SW SE MIXNG WIND SPD..16 14 12 10 9 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........37 41 41 40 42 46 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............60 57 55 54 53 52 RH..............39 49 57 61 64 66 20 FT WIND......E 7 E 8 SE 10 SE 12 E 12 E 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5 E 6 SE 7 SE 9 E 9 E 6 EYE LVL WND GST. 10 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......E 8 E 8 E 9 SE 10 S 8 SW 3 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (52300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (107300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........55 65 74 72 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ TEMP............50 54 59 60 RH..............74 64 53 47 20 FT WIND......E 7 NE 14G20 N 18G25 N 21G30 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5 NE 10G20 N 13G25 N 15G30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1700 3300 4100 MIXNG WIND......N 2 N 14 N 25 N 30 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 2 $$ FORECASTER...DONAVON REQUESTED BY...LUCAS STRAW TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111024.HOTLE.01/DMX