FNUS76 KMFR 240511
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORTAR COYOTE...BLY RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1011 PM PDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH PAST THE BURN SITE THIS
MORNING WITH NORTHWEST WINDS BECOMING NORTH. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL
MOVE IN TODAY WITH A LITTLE HIGHER HUMIDITIES THAN THE LAST FEW
AFTERNOONS. THE MORNING INVERSION WILL BE WEAKER THAN THE LAST
SEVERAL MORNINGS AND WE SHOULD SEE GOOD MIXING TODAY AS A RESULT.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT AND REMAINS THERE
TOMORROW. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COLD NIGHT TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY A
COOL DAY ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER THE AIRMASS WILL ALSO BE MUCH DRIER
TUESDAY WITH CONTINUED NORTHERLY FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59 BOTTOM...52 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST INCREASING TO 8-13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-92 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55 BOTTOM...47 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 15-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...ERIC KNERR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111024.MORTA.01/MFR