FNUS76 KMFR 240628
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMOKEY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1128 PM PDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH PAST THE BURN SITE THIS
MORNING WITH NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT. MUCH
COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN TODAY BUT THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRYING SO
HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOWER. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TO OUR NORTH
TONIGHT AND REMAINS THERE TOMORROW. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COLD
NIGHT TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY A COOL AND EVEN DRIER DAY ON TUESDAY AS
COOL...DRY AIR CONTINUES TO ADVECT IN FROM THE NORTH. THE
INVERSION WILL BE WEAK THIS MORNING AND THEN MODERATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...BUT SHOULD BREAK BOTH DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON..
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST INCREASING TO 8-13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AND
                    DECREASING TO 1-3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST INCREASING TO 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST INCREASING TO 13-18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS 29 TO 32. HIGHS 54 TO 57. NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 30 TO 33. HIGHS 60 TO 63. LIGHT WIND.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 32 TO 35. HIGHS 60 TO 63. LIGHT WIND.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...HEATHER MCRAE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111024.SMOKE.01/MFR