FNUS75 KPUB 241511
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MSR 4...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
911 AM MDT MON OCT 24 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

WARM TEMPERATURES...DRYING DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES OVER
THE SITE TODAY.  CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY
OVER THE SITE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.  CARE SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO AVOID FIRE STARTS TODAY AS CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-90F.
MIN HUMIDITY........2-11 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11500 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(31 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-53F.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS
                    TO 21 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(44 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    WEST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL WITH LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 10000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$

REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111024.MSR4_.01/PUB