FNUS75 KPUB 231810
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1210 PM MDT SUN OCT 23 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO BELOW
15 PERCENT.  THIS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE BURN AREA ON MONDAY.  HOWEVER...FUELS CONDITIONS ...AS REPORTED
BY LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...ARE REPORTED AS NOT CRITICAL ACROSS ZONE 221
...TELLER COUNTY...THUS NO FIRE WEATHER WATCHES OR RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE WEATHER CONDITIONS...IF FUEL
CONDITIONS ARE SUFFICIENTLY DRY...THEN RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD AND
EXTREME BEHAVIOR WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

A COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO THE AREA FOR TUESDAY
WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF SNOW EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME
FRAME.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-42F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN SOUTH
                    8-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 8-15 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                    30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT AYOTTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111024.TROUT.01/PUB