FNUS73 KUNR 241350
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRENCH CREEK 3 RX...SD WILDLAND FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
750 AM MDT MON OCT 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH LATER THIS EVENING TURNING WINDS TO THE NORTH. GENERALLY QUIET
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH AREAS OF RAIN OR SNOW DEVELOPING
BEHIND THE FRONT. TUESDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH NORTHERLY WINDS AND A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2000 TO 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................16 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 TO 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...ROB LEHMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111024.FRENC.01/UNR