FNUS75 KABQ 251431
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER LAKE...CARSON NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
831 AM MDT TUE OCT 25 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
CLOUD COVER WITH SHOWERS MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE BURN
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH MAY
TOUCH OFF A STRAY THUNDERSTORM IN BROADER SHOWER PATTERN THIS
EVENING WITH RAIN INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE SPEED STEADILY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT 10/25/11
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS...SOME
                       WITH THUNDER IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60-62.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 36-39 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 13
                       MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 20 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/180000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/163378 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/130444 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WITH
                       AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO IN THE
                       EVENING...SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUING
                       AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35-37.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 88-91 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE EVENING.

FOR WEDNESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                       RAIN BECOMING STEADY IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49-51.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 57-60 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO
                       19 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 24 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/180000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/86556 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/176981 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...25

$$

REQUESTED BY...DENNIS CARREL
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111025.TIMBE.01/ABQ