FNUS75 KBOU 250026 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WAGON TONGUE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 606 PM MDT MON OCT 24 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY. WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 1500 TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINDS MAY START SWITCHING TO A MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STILL BE DRY...BUT NOT AS LOW AS MONDAY WITH VALUES IN THE UPPER TEENS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DEVELOPING AFTER 1400. THE SNOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY AFTER 2100...AS THE EAST TO NORTHEAST UPSLOPE WINDS DEEPEN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26. MAX HUMIDITY........91%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 5600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 1000-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33. MIN HUMIDITY........46%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAGONTONGUE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/24-18 23 4 1 59 18 W13 21 4 1 W41 6595 W33 189107 E 10/24-19 23 4 1 53 22 W10 17 4 1 W41 4605 W28 129385 V 10/24-20 23 4 1 49 26 W 8 14 3 1 W40 2614 W23 69664 G 10/24-21 30 4 1 47 28 W 7 7 2 1 W39 623 W18 9942 P 10/24-22 30 4 1 45 30 W 7 7 2 1 W40 615 W20 10654 P 10/24-23 30 4 1 44 31 W 7 7 2 1 W44 607 W22 11367 P 10/25-00 35 2 0 42 33 W 8 13 2 1 W46 599 W23 12079 P 10/25-01 35 2 0 41 38 W 8 13 2 1 W47 563 W21 10229 P 10/25-02 35 2 0 40 45 W 7 7 2 1 W47 527 W18 8379 P 10/25-03 35 2 0 39 51 W 7 7 2 1 W47 491 W15 6529 P 10/25-04 35 2 0 38 53 W 7 7 2 1 W48 466 W14 5607 P 10/25-05 35 2 0 37 53 W 7 7 2 1 W48 440 W12 4685 P 10/25-06 28 5 1 36 52 W 7 7 2 1 W48 415 W10 3763 P 10/25-07 28 5 1 37 49 W 8 8 2 1 W46 1053 W13 13793 P 10/25-08 28 5 1 39 44 W 8 14 2 1 W44 1691 W15 23822 P 10/25-09 28 5 1 43 36 W 9 15 2 1 W41 2330 W17 33852 P 10/25-10 28 5 1 48 29 W 9 15 2 1 W40 4340 W20 82069 G 10/25-11 28 5 1 51 26 W 9 15 2 1 W40 6351 W22 130286 V 10/25-12 68 28 8 53 23 W 9 15 2 1 W39 8362 W24 178503 E 10/25-13 68 28 8 54 22 W10 16 2 1 W39 9066 W23 183888 E 10/25-14 68 28 8 54 21 W10 17 3 1 W38 9771 W23 189272 E 10/25-15 69 28 8 55 20 W10 16 3 1 W38 10476 W22 194657 E 10/25-16 69 28 8 54 20 W 9 14 3 1 W37 9734 W22 182694 E 10/25-17 69 28 8 52 21 W 7 7 3 1 W37 8992 W22 170731 E 10/25-18 75 50 26 53 20 SW 5 5 3 1 SW37 8251 SW22 158769 E 10/25-19 75 50 26 47 27 SW 3 3 3 1 W38 5608 SW16 106270 V 10/25-20 75 50 26 42 36 SW 3 3 3 1 W40 2966 SW10 53772 F 10/25-21 75 50 26 39 46 SW 3 3 3 1 W44 323 S 5 1273 P 10/25-22 75 50 26 37 55 S 5 5 3 1 W49 440 S 7 3396 P 10/25-23 75 50 26 35 65 S 6 6 2 1 W55 558 S10 5520 P 10/26-00 85 60 38 33 75 S 6 6 2 1 W56 675 S13 7643 P 10/26-01 85 60 38 32 81 S 5 5 2 1 W49 597 SE 9 5414 P 10/26-02 85 60 38 30 87 SW 2 2 2 1 W40 520 SE 6 3184 P 10/26-03 85 60 38 29 91 CALM 1 2 1 W33 443 E 2 955 P 10/26-04 85 60 38 28 91 CALM 1 2 1 W38 954 E 6 7033 P 10/26-05 85 60 38 27 91 E 2 2 2 1 W46 1465 E 8 13112 P 10/26-06 83 70 53 28 85 NE 3 3 2 1 W52 1977 NE12 19191 P 10/26-07 83 70 53 27 83 NE 5 5 2 1 W45 2106 NE 9 17574 P 10/26-08 83 70 53 26 79 E 5 5 2 1 W36 2235 E 8 15958 P 10/26-09 83 70 53 27 71 E 6 6 2 1 W29 2365 E 7 14341 P 10/26-10 83 70 53 27 64 E 7 7 2 1 W29 3012 E 6 15589 P 10/26-11 83 70 53 30 56 NE 8 13 2 1 W32 3659 SE 6 16836 P 10/26-12 90 60 38 31 51 NE 9 15 2 1 W35 4305 S 5 18083 P 10/26-13 90 60 38 32 48 NE 9 16 2 1 W32 4660 SE 5 17273 P 10/26-14 90 60 38 33 46 NE 9 16 2 1 W30 5014 E 3 16464 P 10/26-15 90 60 38 33 46 NE 9 15 2 1 W28 5368 NE 3 15654 P 10/26-16 90 60 38 33 46 NE 8 13 2 1 W29 5334 NE 3 18049 P 10/26-17 90 60 38 33 47 NE 6 6 2 1 W31 5299 NW 5 20444 P 10/26-18 72 37 15 32 49 NE 5 5 2 1 NW33 5265 W 5 22838 P 10/26-19 72 37 15 27 59 E 3 3 2 1 NW37 3918 W 5 16808 P 10/26-20 72 37 15 23 68 S 2 2 3 1 N38 2570 SW 5 10777 P 10/26-21 72 37 15 20 74 CALM 1 3 1 N39 1223 SW 5 4746 P 10/26-22 72 19 4 19 77 CALM 1 3 1 N37 934 SW 5 3826 P 10/26-23 72 19 4 17 79 SW 2 2 4 1 N32 646 SW 6 2906 P 10/27-00 59 19 4 16 80 W 3 3 4 1 N29 357 W 7 1986 P 10/27-01 59 19 4 15 77 W 5 5 4 1 NW26 305 W 7 1804 P 10/27-02 59 19 4 14 76 W 6 6 4 1 NW24 253 W 8 1621 P 10/27-03 59 19 4 13 75 W 7 7 4 1 NW24 200 W 8 1438 P 10/27-04 59 19 4 12 73 W 7 7 4 1 NW24 180 W 8 1230 P 10/27-05 59 19 4 12 73 W 6 6 4 1 NW24 161 W 7 1021 P 10/27-06 19 6 1 12 72 W 6 6 4 1 W26 141 W 7 813 P 10/27-07 19 6 1 11 77 W 6 6 4 1 W28 134 W 7 754 P 10/27-08 19 6 1 11 83 W 6 6 4 1 W31 126 W 6 696 P 10/27-09 19 6 1 13 80 W 6 6 4 1 W33 119 W 6 637 P 10/27-10 19 6 1 17 69 W 6 6 4 1 W36 321 W 6 1808 P 10/27-11 19 6 1 25 50 W 5 5 3 1 W38 522 W 7 2978 P 10/27-12 15 4 1 30 41 SW 5 5 3 1 W40 724 W 7 4149 P 10/27-13 15 4 1 35 34 W 5 5 3 1 W43 2025 W10 26302 P 10/27-14 15 4 1 39 30 W 3 3 3 1 W46 3326 W14 48456 F 10/27-15 15 4 1 40 29 W 3 3 3 1 W49 4627 NW17 70610 G 10/27-16 15 4 1 41 27 W 3 3 3 1 W52 4851 NW18 77290 G 10/27-17 15 4 1 41 28 W 2 2 2 1 W54 5074 NW18 83971 G 10/27-18 20 3 1 40 29 W 2 2 2 1 W56 5298 NW20 90652 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DAVE HOWARD REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111025.WAGON.01/BOU