FNUS72 KILM 251429
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUNNY...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1029 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1040 EDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS OVERHEAD TODAY AND THEN MOVE
OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON...AND BECOME NEARLY CALM TONIGHT. A STRONG INVERSION
WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSION AND
AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR FOG.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
LOW-LEVEL WIND MAX NEAR 2000 FT AGL...NE 33 MPH...WILL MIX OUT AROUND 11 AM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH LATE.
MAX ADI.............61.
MAX LVORI...........2.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61     67     70     72
RH..................65     51     40     36
20 FT WIND..........NE 8   NE 7   NE 5   NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10     5
LVORI...............1      1      1      2
ADI.................40     49     45     26

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
MAX ADI.............16.
MAX LVORI...........10.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP................68     60     56     52     49     46
RH..................42     59     68     76     86     95
LVORI...............2      3      6      6      8      10
ADI.................16     2      1      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...STEVE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111025.BUNNY.01/ILM