FNUS76 KMFR 250210
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PILGRIM...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
710 PM PDT MON OCT 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND WEAK OFFSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW
WILL KEEP CLEAR SKIES OVER THE BURN SITE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. A VERY DRY AND COOL AIRMASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA WHICH
WILL RESULT IN COLD NIGHTS WITH MODERATE INVERSIONS. FULL SUNSHINE
AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL HELP MIX OUT THE INVERSION DURING THE
AFTERNOONS WITH RELATIVELY LOW MINIMUM AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES AS A
RESULT. WINDS WON'T BE PARTICULARLY STRONG BUT WILL BE CONSISTENTLY
NORTHEAST TO NORTH THROUGH MID WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST INCREASING TO 2-4 MPH GUSTS 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-23.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST DECREASING TO 1-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH EASING T0 2-4 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH INCREASING TO 4-6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 24 TO 27. HIGHS 65 TO 67. LIGHT WIND.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 27 TO 29. HIGHS 65 TO 67. LIGHT WIND.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 30 TO 32. HIGHS 63 TO 65. LIGHT WIND.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...HEATHER MCRAE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111025.PILGR.01/MFR