FNUS75 KBOU 252131 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK 00401...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 328 PM MDT TUE OCT 25 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. STORM TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 12 TO 24 INCHES BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN MOVING OVER THE STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. IT WILL BE DRY WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE WEEK. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-27. MIN HUMIDITY........77-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-15. MAX HUMIDITY........83-85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-36. MIN HUMIDITY........43-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMESCREEK 00401. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/26-06 100 94 90 25 89 E 8 8 2 1 SW38 3686 E15 46734 F 10/26-07 100 94 90 25 86 E 8 8 2 1 SW38 3837 E14 47783 F 10/26-08 100 94 90 25 83 E 9 9 2 1 SW39 3988 E14 48832 F 10/26-09 100 94 90 25 80 E 9 14 2 1 SW39 4139 E14 49882 F 10/26-10 100 94 90 23 81 E 9 15 2 1 SW38 4040 E15 50672 F 10/26-11 100 94 90 23 82 E10 15 2 1 SW36 3941 E15 51461 F 10/26-12 93 79 66 22 81 E10 16 2 1 SW35 3841 E16 52251 F 10/26-13 93 79 66 22 82 E10 15 2 1 SW36 3854 E13 43946 F 10/26-14 93 79 66 21 83 E 9 9 2 1 W37 3867 E10 35640 P 10/26-15 93 79 66 21 82 E 8 8 2 1 W39 3880 E 8 27335 P 10/26-16 93 79 66 21 82 E 7 7 2 1 W40 3655 E 7 22734 P 10/26-17 93 79 66 20 83 E 6 6 2 1 W41 3430 NE 6 18133 P 10/26-18 61 20 4 20 82 E 5 5 2 1 W41 3204 NE 5 13531 P 10/26-19 61 20 4 18 83 NE 3 3 2 1 W40 2766 NE 5 11143 P 10/26-20 61 20 4 18 80 NW 2 2 2 1 W37 2327 N 5 8754 P 10/26-21 61 20 4 17 77 CALM 1 2 1 W33 1888 N 3 6365 P 10/26-22 61 20 4 17 75 W 2 2 2 1 W29 1464 N 3 4762 P 10/26-23 61 20 4 16 73 W 3 3 2 1 NW24 1041 N 3 3159 P 10/27-00 24 0 0 16 71 W 6 6 2 1 NW20 617 NW 3 1556 P 10/27-01 24 0 0 16 68 W 7 7 2 1 NW18 535 NW 5 1716 P 10/27-02 24 0 0 16 65 W 8 8 3 1 N18 454 W 5 1876 P 10/27-03 24 0 0 15 63 W 9 9 3 1 N20 372 W 6 2036 P 10/27-04 24 0 0 15 61 W10 10 3 1 N18 336 W 7 1996 P 10/27-05 24 0 0 15 60 W10 10 4 1 N17 299 W 8 1957 P 10/27-06 28 0 0 15 61 W10 10 4 1 N17 263 W 8 1917 P 10/27-07 28 0 0 15 64 W10 10 4 1 NW16 541 W 8 3642 P 10/27-08 28 0 0 19 61 W10 10 4 1 NW16 819 W 8 5367 P 10/27-09 28 0 0 23 56 W 9 9 4 1 NW17 1098 W 7 7092 P 10/27-10 28 0 0 27 50 W 8 8 4 1 NW20 1554 W 8 10881 P 10/27-11 28 0 0 30 47 W 6 6 4 1 W23 2010 W 8 14670 P 10/27-12 28 0 0 32 45 W 5 5 4 1 W25 2466 W 8 18459 P 10/27-13 28 0 0 33 45 W 3 3 4 1 W28 2802 W 9 22117 P 10/27-14 28 0 0 33 44 NW 2 2 4 1 W30 3139 NW 9 25774 P 10/27-15 28 0 0 34 43 NW 2 2 4 1 W30 3475 NW 9 29432 P 10/27-16 28 0 0 33 43 W 2 2 4 1 W29 3222 NW 9 25665 P 10/27-17 28 0 0 32 43 W 2 2 4 1 W28 2969 NW 8 21899 P 10/27-18 28 0 0 31 44 W 3 3 4 1 W26 2715 NW 8 18133 P 10/27-19 28 0 0 29 47 W 6 6 4 1 W26 2095 W 8 14365 P 10/27-20 28 0 0 27 48 W 7 7 3 1 W28 1474 W 9 10598 P 10/27-21 28 0 0 26 48 W 9 9 3 1 W29 853 W 9 6830 P 10/27-22 28 0 0 25 48 W10 10 3 1 W25 721 W 9 5951 P 10/27-23 28 0 0 25 47 W10 10 2 1 NW22 588 W10 5072 P 10/28-00 24 0 0 24 47 W10 10 2 1 NW20 455 W10 4194 P 10/28-01 24 0 0 24 47 W12 18 2 1 NW20 435 W10 4062 P 10/28-02 24 0 0 23 47 W13 21 2 1 N23 414 W10 3930 P 10/28-03 24 0 0 23 48 W14 22 2 1 N25 394 W12 3798 P 10/28-04 24 0 0 22 48 W14 23 2 1 N29 374 W12 3601 P 10/28-05 24 0 0 22 48 W14 23 2 1 N31 353 W12 3404 P 10/28-06 15 0 0 22 50 W14 22 2 1 NW33 333 W12 3208 P 10/28-07 15 0 0 22 52 W14 22 2 1 NW35 568 W10 4464 P 10/28-08 15 0 0 24 50 W13 21 3 1 N35 804 W 9 5721 P 10/28-09 15 0 0 28 46 W13 21 3 1 N35 1040 W 8 6978 P 10/28-10 15 0 0 32 42 W12 18 3 1 NW33 1713 W 9 15532 P 10/28-11 15 0 0 35 41 W10 10 4 1 NW32 2386 W10 24086 P 10/28-12 15 0 0 37 40 W10 10 4 1 NW31 3059 NW13 32640 P 10/28-13 15 0 0 38 40 W10 10 4 1 NW31 2934 W15 38061 P 10/28-14 15 0 0 38 39 W10 10 4 1 NW32 2809 W18 43482 F 10/28-15 15 0 0 39 38 W12 18 4 1 NW32 2684 W21 48904 F 10/28-16 15 0 0 38 38 W13 20 4 1 NW32 2458 W23 49323 F 10/28-17 15 0 0 37 37 W14 21 5 1 W31 2232 W26 49742 F 10/28-18 17 2 0 36 38 W14 22 5 1 W30 2006 W29 50162 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111026.JAMES.01/BOU