FNUS73 KDLH 261017 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI WILDFIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 517 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0449 CDT ON OCTOBER 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FEW RAIN AND OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BEFORE A BETTER CHANCE THIS AFTERNOON AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM BEFORE SUNSET THIS EVENING. CONFIDENCE IN THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE BURN SITE IS LOW. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH AT MOST. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH THE DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S AND MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND TOMORROW. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S...AND BACK INTO THE LOWER 40S AGAIN ON THURSDAY FOR HIGHS. COULD SEE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS ON THURSDAY WITH A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTION THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT FAST MOVING WEAK SYSTEM ROLLS IN ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER BREAK IN THE WEATHER ON SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MIN HUMIDITY........54-60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200) INCREASING TO FAIR (17100) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (52600) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR (29500) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............33 35 37 41 43 42 RH..............88 83 72 61 56 62 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 6 6 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31. MAX HUMIDITY........88-97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (950). TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............37 34 33 31 31 30 RH..............75 78 80 84 87 94 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN AND OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42. MIN HUMIDITY........51-57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800) INCREASING TO FAIR (29500) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69300) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (48100) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............29 30 34 38 41 39 RH..............85 88 77 62 55 59 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 6 9 9 5 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN REQUESTED BY...MIKE LOCKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111026.PAGAM.01/DLH