FNUS74 KEPZ 261456
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR STEWARDSHIP RX...NMLNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
856 AM MDT WED OCT 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM NORTHERN UTAH SOUTHWEST
INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION
OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
BE ON THE INCREASE FOR THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 60S WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAINING ABOVE 30
PERCENT. AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES TONIGHT...STRONG FORCING WILL ALLOW
FOR A GOOD CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION TO OCCUR ACROSS THE BURN AREA
IN THE FORM OF RAIN EARLY ON BUT POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SOME SNOW
TOWARD MORNING. THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH WILL BE THROUGH BY LATE MORNING
THURSDAY WHICH WILL PUT AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...EXPECT WINDS TO SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST
AND TEMPERATURES TO FALL ABOUT 20 DEGREES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400-9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT...POSSIBLY
                    MIXED WITH SNOW AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN AND
                    SHOW SHOWERS THROUGH MID MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111026.STEWA.01/EPZ