FNUS75 KGJT 261528
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKI AREA PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
928 AM MDT WED OCT 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING
SOUTH OF THE COLORADO BORDER BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. DRIER AIR
MOVING IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN A MORE SCATTERED NATURE
TO THE SNOWFALL WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED THE REMAINDER
OF THIS AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL SHOULD REACH INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY
BY MID AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES PUSH INTO THE MID 30S. A STRONG
INVERSION FORMING AT THE SURFACE TONIGHT WILL BE HARD TO BREAK WITH
WARMING COMING IN ALOFT...SO POOR DISPERSAL EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING
                    BECOMING SCATTERED BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-38 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BY LATE MORNING...INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL LATE THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    5900 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 10 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS BECOMING DOWNSLOPE AT AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111026.SKIAR.01/GJT